XLM Forecasts
Aggregate bull / base / bear scenarios for Stellar
Current Price
$0.1761
When Moon 589 Scenario Model
Current
$0.1761
Avg Bear
$0.1900
8%
Avg Base
$0.9400
+434%
Avg Bull
$1.75
+894%
These are When Moon 589's own illustrative bull / base / bear scenarios, aggregated across multiple analytical methodologies plus public market and community commentary we factor in — not predictions from any individual. Scenario models like these have historically missed by wide margins: use them for a sense of range, never for timing. Not financial advice.
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Price Chart + Scenario Targets (90 Days)
Scenario Breakdown by Methodology
Scenarios last updated May 31, 2026
Bear
$0.1900
Base
$0.9400
Bull
$1.75
2026 Cycle
Why this target?
Written May 31, 2026. Prices mentioned below are as of that date, not live.
The 60.70 percent 30-day surge and sustained hold above the $0.247 structural level reinforces the cross-border remittance and settlement utility thesis at the macro level, and the fact that price is now confirming higher on a second consecutive momentum leg suggests institutional accumulation is beginning to align with the fundamental narrative I have been tracking through the Stellar Development Foundation partnership pipeline. I am nudging the bull target to $1.75 and raising the base case modestly to $0.94 to reflect this compounding macro confirmation, though I am trimming the bear case slightly to $0.19 given that the prior demand zone has now been tested and held twice, reducing the probability of a full capitulation scenario. Full framework and updated tier levels at whenmoon589.com.
About XLM
Stellar launched in 2014, founded by Jed McCaleb (who also co-created the XRP Ledger) and Joyce Kim. The Stellar Development Foundation, a nonprofit based in San Francisco, oversees the protocol. Stellar was built to connect financial institutions, payment systems, and people, with a particular focus on remittances and underbanked populations — the corridors where correspondent banking over SWIFT is expensive, slow, and unreliable. If XRP targets the top of the banking food chain, Stellar targets the wider base.
Stellar uses the Stellar Consensus Protocol (SCP), a variant of Federated Byzantine Agreement. Nodes choose their own trust sets (called "quorum slices"), and consensus emerges from overlapping trust rather than a single validator list. Ledgers close every 5 seconds, though the SDF is targeting 2.5-second close times through Protocol 23, which introduced parallel transaction processing in late 2025. Current throughput sits around 1,000 to 2,000 TPS, with a target of 5,000 TPS. The base fee is 0.00001 XLM, roughly $0.00012. Soroban, Stellar's smart contract platform, went live on mainnet in February 2024. Built on Rust and WebAssembly, Soroban fees typically run a few cents per transaction. The SDF launched a $100 million fund to drive Soroban adoption.