HBAR Forecasts
Aggregate bull / base / bear scenarios for Hedera
Current Price
$0.0744
When Moon 589 Scenario Model
Current
$0.0744
Avg Bear
$0.0550
-26%
Avg Base
$0.2750
+270%
Avg Bull
$0.8800
+1083%
These are When Moon 589's own illustrative bull / base / bear scenarios, aggregated across multiple analytical methodologies plus public market and community commentary we factor in — not predictions from any individual. Scenario models like these have historically missed by wide margins: use them for a sense of range, never for timing. Not financial advice.
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Price Chart + Scenario Targets (90 Days)
Scenario Breakdown by Methodology
Scenarios last updated May 31, 2026
Bear
$0.0600
Base
$0.3100
Bull
$1.04
2026-2027
Why this target?
Written May 31, 2026. Prices mentioned below are as of that date, not live.
The continuation of positive momentum with a +10.29% 30-day print holding above the $0.096 custody accumulation threshold I flagged previously is incrementally constructive — sustained price above this level across two consecutive observation windows suggests the demand rotation I identified is not a one-cycle artifact but a developing institutional positioning pattern. Flow data still lacks the throughput volume confirmation required to assign full probability weight to the bull case, but the bear floor is compressing as distribution pressure continues to fade and Governing Council mandate activity shows early corroboration. Raising all targets modestly to reflect improved flow conviction, though I will not accelerate the bull case further until enterprise settlement metrics demonstrate material quarter-over-quarter growth — full tracking at whenmoon589.com.
Bear
$0.0500
Base
$0.2400
Bull
$0.7200
2026 Cycle
Why this target?
Written May 31, 2026. Prices mentioned below are as of that date, not live.
HBAR is holding right at the 0.096 to 0.10 decision zone with back-to-back positive 30-day readings, which tells me accumulation is quietly building beneath this key resistance ceiling. The structure is tightening and a weekly close above 0.10 with expanding volume remains the trigger I need to see before calling this a confirmed breakout rather than another failed test. Base target nudges slightly higher to 0.24 given the improved momentum profile, but until that weekly close prints above 0.10, this is still a watch-and-confirm setup.
About HBAR
Hedera launched in 2019, co-founded by Dr. Leemon Baird (who invented the hashgraph algorithm) and Mance Harmon. The network is governed by the Hedera Governing Council, which includes Google, IBM, Boeing, Dell, LG Electronics, Tata Communications, and as of December 2025, energy giant Repsol. The council has 39 members, each serving limited terms. This corporate governance model is intentional: Hedera is betting that enterprises trust a network overseen by recognizable names.
Hedera does not use a blockchain at all. It runs on hashgraph, a DAG-based consensus algorithm that uses a gossip protocol combined with virtual voting. Nodes gossip transaction data to each other, and the algorithm derives consensus mathematically without requiring nodes to actually vote. This gives Hedera asynchronous Byzantine Fault Tolerance (aBFT), which is the highest security grade for distributed consensus. The network handles over 10,000 TPS with finality in 3 to 5 seconds. Transaction fees are fixed at $0.001 for crypto transfers and $0.0001 for consensus messages. The hashgraph patent is owned by Hedera, which means no one else can run the same algorithm — a point critics raise about centralization.